Alabama -3 2.2% play

I'll back the more complete team at home with revenge here.  LSU' sdefense ranks 105th in ypp defense, and they struggle at times vs. teh run and pass ranking outside the top 90 in both form an efficiency perspective and success rate.  LSU also ranks 120th in explosive plays allowed, which is key, because Jalen Milroe will be able to take advantage of one of his strengths, which is the deep pass.  The weakness of the Alabama offense is their OL, and I don't think LSU can take advantage as they rank 79th in defensive sack %.